PrimeRFP SCOUT · Recompete Radar · Updated October 16, 2026

Upcoming federal recompetes — incumbent contract tracker

PrimeRFP SCOUT Recompete Radar monitors contract period-of-performance end dates across all federal agencies, surfacing upcoming federal recompetes with incumbent contractor, estimated value, and win-probability signals — before solicitations appear on SAM.gov. Use it as your incumbent contract tracker for capture timing. Incumbent contractors win roughly 70–80% of recompetes. Early identification is the single highest-ROI activity in federal business development.

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8,532 expiring contracts, incumbents, and sustain rates.

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SCOUT recompete pipeline — next 14 months

PrimeRFP SCOUT · ≥$10M floor · October 16, 2026
8,532
Recompetes in window
~$566B
Obligated pipeline value
839
Contracts ≥ $100M
53%
DoD share of value

Concentration by agency: Department of Defense $301B (53%) · Department of Energy $81B (14%) · Department of Veterans Affairs $35B (6%) · Department of Homeland Security $32B (6%). Obligated dollars across the recompete pipeline SCOUT is tracking over the next 14 months (≥$10M floor). Order obligated on each PIID, not the parent IDV ceiling. The August 2026 radar used a larger value basis.

Expiring government contracts by agency and NAICS

Phrase-shaped slices from the October 16, 2026 citation pull (same 14-month · ≥$10M floor). Radar above stays the all-agency book.

All expiring citation slices →

Recompete Pipeline Preview — Live Sample from SCOUT

The contracts below are a live sample from PrimeRFP SCOUT’s recompete intelligence database (≥ $10M floor for this snapshot, covering the bulk of federal contract dollars). Get the full shortlist →

AgencyContract / DescriptionIncumbentEst. ValuePoP EndDays Left
DOEManagement & Operation of Sandia National Laboratories
DENA0003525
National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC$25.1B2027-04-30194d
DOEM&O of Y-12 National Security Complex and Pantex Plant
DENA0001942
Consolidated Nuclear Security LLC$16.7B2027-09-30347d
DOESavannah River Site management & operating contract
DEAC0908SR22470
Savannah River Nuclear Solutions, LLC$12.0B2027-09-30347d
DoDAircraft manufacturing award (NAICS 336411)
FA862511C6600
The Boeing Company$11.7B2027-07-31286d
DoDTRICARE managed care support, 5th generation West region
HT940223C0002
TriWest Healthcare Alliance Corp.$9.2B2026-12-3174d

Get the full shortlist for the federal pipeline

8,532 expiring contracts, incumbents, and sustain rates.

PrimeRFP SCOUT · ≥$10M floor · Refreshed October 16, 2026 · values are order-obligated dollars on each PIID

Every contract row expands into a full intelligence brief

Click any row in the SCOUT Recompete Pipeline to see the complete financial breakdown, PoP timeline with planning window, competitive intelligence, and full modification history. Here’s what an expanded row looks like:

GSANAICS: 541611

PROCUREMENT & BUSINESS OPERATIONS SUPPORT SERVICES

System Planning Corporation · 47QFCA22F0040

🤝 Looking to TeamAll SPC Contracts

Total Obligated

$83.3M

Funded (Cumulative)

$83.3M

Paid (Exercised)

$41.2M

Total with All Options

$109.0M

Total Contract Duration

5 years

Current PoP End Date

Nov 30, 2026

Time Remaining

27 days / 0.1 yrs

Contract start⚑ Planning Window for RecompetePoP end

99% elapsed · Most agencies begin recompete planning 12–18 months before PoP end. This contract is likely entering its final performance year — prime time for capture planning.

🏆

Win the Recompete — Competitive Intelligence

Incumbent footprint, teaming partners & direct competitors

Tactics▶
📋

SOW Evolution Tracker

How the scope of work has changed across modifications

Strategic+▶
📄

Contract Modifications & Task Orders

17 transactions · Add Funding · Option Exercise · Admin · Deobligation

Pilot▶

Example brief from the SCOUT Recompete Pipeline — not the October 16, 2026 snapshot above

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How to find upcoming federal recompetes

1

Monitor PoP End Dates

SCOUT continuously monitors contract period-of-performance end dates across federal procurement records, flagging awards approaching expiry up to 5 years out.

2

Identify Incumbents & Value

Each recompete includes the current incumbent, estimated contract value, and the awarding agency and contracting office.

3

Alert You Before SAM.gov

SCOUT surfaces recompetes before solicitations are published, giving you weeks or months of lead time for capture planning and teaming.

Frequently Asked Questions — Federal Recompetes

What is a federal contract recompete?

A recompete occurs when a federal contract reaches its end-of-period-of-performance and the agency must re-solicit the work. This creates a competitive opportunity for both the incumbent and challengers to win the next award.

How do I find upcoming federal recompetes?

PrimeRFP SCOUT Recompete Radar tracks upcoming federal recompetes across agencies by monitoring contract period-of-performance end dates in federal procurement records. SCOUT identifies incumbents, estimates recompete values, and surfaces pipeline signals before new solicitations appear on SAM.gov.

What is an incumbent contract tracker?

An incumbent contract tracker shows who currently holds a federal contract, when the period of performance ends, and how that award is likely to recompete. PrimeRFP SCOUT Recompete Radar functions as an incumbent contract tracker by pairing incumbent names with estimated values, PoP end dates, and recompete likelihood signals.

How far in advance can I see federal recompetes?

PrimeRFP SCOUT surfaces federal recompetes up to 5 years (60 months) in advance, giving contractors lead time for capture planning, incumbent research, and teaming partner identification.

What is the win probability for an incumbent on a federal recompete?

Federal incumbent contractors win roughly 70–80% of recompetes on average, according to industry analysis. However, win rates vary significantly by agency, contract type, and incumbent performance — PrimeRFP SCOUT provides contract-specific signals to help assess recompete risk.

Related: Award history · Teaming partners · Sources Sought tracker · SLED intelligence · SCOUT MCP

Get the full shortlist for the federal pipeline

8,532 expiring contracts, incumbents, and sustain rates.

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