The recompete outlook is imminent with less than a full 12–18-month capture cycle remaining before the PoP ends, making it too little runway to start cold, though an incumbent-displacement or teaming play is still live. SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. accounts for 50.7% of lane-scoped obligated dollars ($4.7B of $9.2B) in this NAICS/PSC lane (not firm-wide) at DOD over the trailing window. Protest posture is manageable based on agency-scoped GAO merit sustain rate of 11.1% (144 merit decisions; 748 protests in this agency filter) — above the 8.2% government-wide GAO baseline (comparison only, not this contract's rate).
NATIONAL SECURITY SPACE LAUNCH PHASE 3 LANE 1
Current PoP ends Nov 30, 2026 (126 days remaining). Agencies typically plan 12–18 months ahead — position before the PoP clock runs out.
Track recompete timing in SCOUT →SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. — $10.0B obligated across 172 awards (firm-wide, all agencies) · lead buyer National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA).
Sample partners for this lane — full fit scoring stays in SCOUT.
Lane-scoped awardees in 481212 / V126 — full competitive set stays in SCOUT.
Query this award live in SCOUT via MCP — personalized scoring, watchlists, and capture workflow across the corpus. Learn about SCOUT MCP →
Live Demand-Fit + Displacement scoring, alerts on verdict flips, and watchlists. Free — no card required.
See all live recompete landscapes — who else is expiring, and where the openings are.
Open SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP.’s federal contract profile — agency mix, recompete pipeline, and teaming relationships.
Data: Showing contracts ≥ $100K from federal procurement records (FPDS-NG, SAM.gov, and related repositories), normalized by PrimeRFP SCOUT. Each row keyed by Award ID (PIID); task orders appear as independent rows. Register free to start exploring SCOUT →