Analysis
PublicThe recompete outlook is imminent with less than a full 12–18-month capture cycle remaining before the PoP ends, making it too little runway to start cold, though an incumbent-displacement or teaming play is still live. SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. accounts for 50.7% of lane-scoped obligated dollars ($4.7B of $9.2B) in this NAICS/PSC lane (not firm-wide) at DOD over the trailing window. Protest posture is manageable based on agency-scoped GAO merit sustain rate of 11.1% (144 merit decisions; 748 protests in this agency filter) — above the 8.2% government-wide GAO baseline (comparison only, not this contract's rate).
Contract facts
FederalNo full NAICS 481212 intel page yet. Browse NAICS intelligence
NATIONAL SECURITY SPACE LAUNCH PHASE 3 LANE 1
Recompete timing
PublicCurrent PoP ends Nov 30, 2026 (106 days remaining). Agencies typically plan 12–18 months ahead — at 3.5 months out, that window is already open. The buying decision is likely already in motion.
Watch this contract — one email →Incumbent footprint
Public recordSPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. — $10.0B obligated across 172 awards (firm-wide, all agencies) · lead buyer National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA).
Related awards
Same parent · incumbentComplementary teaming
Public namesSample partners for this lane — full fit scoring stays in SCOUT.
Likely competitors
Public recordLane-scoped awardees in 481212 / V126 — full competitive set stays in SCOUT.
Query this award live in SCOUT via MCP — personalized scoring, watchlists, and capture workflow across the corpus. Learn about SCOUT MCP →
Track this contract
Get an alert when the recompete window opens, the incumbent changes, or a protest lands. One email, no account.
Alert when the recompete window opens, the incumbent changes, or a protest lands. One email, no account.
See all live recompete landscapes — who else is expiring, and where the openings are.
Open SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP.’s federal contract profile — agency mix, recompete pipeline, and teaming relationships.
Frequently asked questions
What is contract FA881125FB002?
FA881125FB002 (NATIONAL SECURITY SPACE LAUNCH PHASE 3 LANE 1) is a Department of Defense (DOD) award with an estimated value of $77.6M, currently held by SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP.. Figures are USASpending-sourced public-record facts normalized by PrimeRFP SCOUT.
Who is the incumbent on FA881125FB002?
SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP. is the incumbent with $10.0B across 172 related awards in SCOUT’s public footprint. The current period of performance ends Nov 30, 2026.
When does FA881125FB002 come up for recompete?
SCOUT tracks a period-of-performance end of Nov 30, 2026 with a chase verdict of GO. Actual solicitation timing can shift with extensions, bridges, or consolidations.
Data: Showing contracts ≥ $100K from federal procurement records (FPDS-NG, SAM.gov, and related repositories), normalized by PrimeRFP SCOUT. Each row keyed by Award ID (PIID); task orders appear as independent rows. Explore it live — $90 Pilot →