The 90-Day Window: Federal Contracts Expiring Q2 2026 That Nobody's Tracking

The best capture teams don't wait for solicitations to drop. They track when incumbents' contracts expire — and start positioning months before anyone else sees an RFP.

Executive Summary

Two hundred federal contracts worth over $1.2 billion are expiring across four critical sectors in Q2 2026. This is the pipeline that never shows up in your email digest. SCOUT surfaced these by querying the federal recompete window directly—no category filter, no intermediary, just live intelligence on what's ending and who holds it today.

The contracts below represent the intelligence your capture team needs right now. Not when the RFP drops. Not when your competitors notice. Today.

How to Read This Report

SCOUT's recompete intelligence queries USASpending data for contracts with period-of-performance end dates within the next 90 days. Each entry includes the incumbent contractor, estimated obligated value, awarding agency, and expiration date. Estimated value reflects the obligated amount on the current contract—the recompete may be larger or smaller depending on scope changes and technical refresh cycles.

This is live data pulled April 1, 2026. All dollar figures are in millions unless otherwise noted. All dates are in 2026.

Cybersecurity: The $400M+ Silent Pipeline

Fifty contracts are expiring in cybersecurity this quarter. The headline is clear: DOD dominates with naval warfare RMF, DEVCOM integration, and continuous monitoring. But the deeper story is Treasury's fragmentation.

Four separate cyber contracts at Treasury expire this quarter:

• General Dynamics IT: $37M (Technical operations, Apr 22)
• AptNexus: $4.3M (Compliance & privacy, May 4)
• Deloitte: $2.4M (FISMA information assurance, Jun 8)
• Copia Consulting: $1.3M (Cyber information analysis, Apr 20)

This pattern signals consolidation planning. Treasury is running separate vendors for operations, compliance, and analysis—all expiring within a 50-day window. Expect a unified recompete with broader scope.

Set-aside signal: GSA Chenega Systems holds a $4.1M 8(a) bridge contract for enterprise cyber services (May 9). This is a leading indicator of upcoming small business opportunities in the broader GSA cybersecurity space.

The $103.8M SimVentions contract for naval warfare RMF and continuous monitoring is the largest single cyber recompete in the window. Expect a competitive field—this is core to DOD's zero-trust modernization roadmap.

IT Modernization & Cloud Services: The AWS Infrastructure Lock-In Story

Amazon Web Services holds $279 million in cloud infrastructure contracts expiring this quarter across GSA, DOD, and DOD IL6 consumption:

• GSA: $179M (AWS cloud + VAR support, Jun 13)
• DOD: $94.8M (AWS cloud general, Jun 30)
• DOD IL6: $5M (DC2HS consumption, Jun 30)

This is not competition. This is infrastructure lock-in. AWS owns the public cloud services layer across federal, and these contracts renew as a matter of technical necessity, not competitive solicitation.

But the surrounding services layer is where displacement happens. AccelGov's $61M contract for ECMA cloud cybersecurity (May 15) is the integration point where competitors win. Tuknik Government's $19M SOSS BPA IT services contract (May 18) is another. SEV1TECH's $6.4M NGITS hosting (May 28) is a third.

The pattern: AWS handles compute. Services contractors compete for integration, security, and operational support. If your firm is strong on cloud architecture, FedRAMP security, or cloud financial optimization, the expiring services contracts are your entry points.

Logistics & Supply Chain: The Single-Vendor Concentration Risk

This is where the recompete story gets remarkable.

JPATS Logistics holds five separate “contractor operated and maintained base supply” contracts at DOD, all expiring June 30, totaling $401.5 million:

• $118.6M
• $88.4M
• $75.8M
• $64.1M
• $54.6M

This is not normal contract distribution. This is the kind of single-vendor concentration that either signals a massive consolidated recompete or a sole-source extension. Either way, this is intelligence your business development team needs.

The surrounding contracts in the logistics and supply chain space are smaller but highly specialized:

• Bowhead Program Management: $21.5M (NSWC Crane engineering/logistics, Apr 20)
• SAIC: $6.8M (DOD ground support centers, Apr 25)
• Mainsail Industries: $1.8M (Zero trust supply chain, May 15)
• LMI Consulting: $1.9M (Supply chain risk mgmt WSSP, Jun 9)

If you have supply chain risk management, depot-level logistics, or defense industrial base capabilities, this is your window.

Healthcare & Medical Services: The QTC Dominance & VA Fragmentation Story

QTC Medical Services is the dominant incumbent in federal healthcare recompetes. The company holds 12+ contracts worth over $100 million in DOD reserve health readiness (RHRP) alone, with the core contract expiring May 28 at $56M.

The DOD RHRP program is the single largest healthcare recompete in this window. QTC's dominance reflects decades of incumbent advantage and past performance in pre-deployment medical screening. But RHRP recompetes are highly competitive—expect at least 8–10 qualified bidders.

The VA story is different. VA medical centers operate under a fragmented model: individual facilities contract for clinical services locally. VA Medical Faculty Associates, VA Medical College Wisconsin, and VA Shared Medical each hold separate contracts at different VA facilities. This fragmentation creates more recompete opportunities than a consolidated program—more doors to knock on, lower concentration risk for any single incumbent.

Watch the VA DC emergency medicine contract: VA Medical Faculty Associates' $8.2M contract for DC VAMC emergency medicine expires April 8—this week. This is a recompete to monitor in real time.

Cross-Sector Patterns: Three Things Your Team Must Know

1. Incumbent Concentration Risk

In each sector, a small number of companies hold outsized share. JPATS Logistics alone represents 17% of all logistics and supply chain recompetes in the window. QTC holds 25%+ of healthcare value. AWS holds 70% of the cloud infrastructure market in federal. This is not healthy competition. This is incumbent advantage crystallized. For your team: where incumbents have 30%+ market share, expect sole-source extensions or massive consolidation recompetes.

2. The June 30 Cliff

June 30 is the single largest expiration date across all four sectors. SimVentions ($103.8M cyber), both AWS contracts ($94.8M + $5M cloud), JPATS Logistics ($401.5M supply chain), and multiple healthcare contracts all expire on the same day. This suggests coordinated budget cycles—many of these contracts are renewal-authorized under the same fiscal year planning. Expect RFP releases to cluster in May and June.

3. Set-Aside Signals

The GSA Chenega Systems 8(a) bridge contract for enterprise cyber services ($4.1M, May 9) is a signal that the broader cybersecurity market is seeing set-aside activity. Treasury's fragmented cyber contracts are another signal: when agencies split work across multiple smaller contracts, they're often creating pathways for small business set-asides in the recompete. If your firm qualifies as 8(a), WOSB, SDVOSB, or HUBZone, watch these programs closely.

What to Do With This Data

For Business Development Leaders

Pick your sector. Identify the 3–5 contracts where your past performance and capabilities align best. Start capture planning today. The solicitations for June 30 expirations should be posting in the next 30–60 days. Your capture plans need to be mature before the RFP is published.

Specifically:

• Map your past performance against the top 10 contracts in your sector
• Identify which incumbents are vulnerable (QTC has multiple RHRP task orders; they're splitting focus)
• Research the recompete history: Did these contracts come from consolidation? Prior recompetes? Sole-source extensions?
• Build teaming partnerships early: 60 days before RFP release, your team composition must be locked

For Proposal Teams

Begin tracking the agencies with the highest concentration of expirations. Treasury has 4 cyber contracts expiring. DOD has contracts expiring across all four sectors. VA has dozens of clinical service contracts expiring. Set calendar alerts for:

• Agency recompete announcements (usually 45–60 days before RFP)
• Industry days (typically 30 days before RFP)
• RFP releases (expect clustering around May 15–June 15)

Methodology: How SCOUT Built This Report

All data in this report comes from SCOUT recompete intelligence, queried live on April 1, 2026, using a 90-day forward window. SCOUT searches USASpending.gov data for contracts with period-of-performance end dates between April 1 and June 30, 2026, then cross-references incumbents, obligated values, and agency information.

We sampled 200 contracts across four targeted queries:

• Cybersecurity: 50 contracts, $400M+ value
• IT Modernization & Cloud: 50 contracts, $400M+ value
• Logistics & Supply Chain: 50 contracts, $300M+ value
• Healthcare & Medical: 50 contracts, $200M+ value

Dollar figures reflect the obligated amount on the current contract as of April 1, 2026. Recompete values may differ based on scope changes, technical refresh requirements, or budget adjustments. This report represents the sectors most relevant to SCOUT's user base; the full federal recompete pipeline is significantly larger.

For the complete live data and additional sectors, query SCOUT recompete intelligence directly with your own agency, NAICS, or keyword filters.